Massachusetts Election could Jolt Senate Obama

BOSTON — On the eve of the Senate election that could determine the fate of President Obama's agenda, Democrats scrambled to build a firebreak around the candidacy of Martha Coakley against the phenomenon of Scott Brown, the Republican Massachusetts state senator whose underdog campaign has surged as the vessel for national opposition to the Democrats' super majority in the chamber.

Both teams, reinforced by senior political operatives from Washington and bevies of volunteers from beyond Massachusetts, made ardent appeals to supporters to brave freezing temperatures and vote in today's special election to fill the seat vacated by the death of Democratic Sen. Edward Kennedy. Democrats focused on trying to persuade independent women to back Coakley, who would be the first female senator from the Bay State. Republicans championed Brown as the best brake on runaway spending in Washington.

Enthusiastic crowds greeted Brown, whose prospects sharply ascended when his candidacy was identified as an opportunity to deprive Democrats of the 60th vote required to stop debate on a health-care overhaul, an issue that was Kennedy's lifelong quest. Chants of "Forty-one!" broke out at his campaign stops. Several late polls suggested Brown's remarkable surge may be pushing him beyond what appeared to be a dead heat a week ago. Over the weekend, Suffolk University surveyed three Massachusetts communities where past returns have mirrored statewide results, and found Brown leading by 14 to 17 percentage points.

A Brown campaign official predicted independent voters rallying to the insurgent Republican would push turnout above 50 percent, twice that of the last special election. "The half of my family who voted for Obama are for Brown," said Dennis Sheehan, an electrical technician from Lowell, who cheered the Senate candidate outside a Boston Bruins game. "They felt sold out. He said he'd bring the whole country together. I've never seen the country so divided in my life, and I grew up in the '60s, with Vietnam."

A conservative political-action committee calling itself "Our Country Deserves Better," which has aligned itself with the Tea Party movement, has spent more than $285,000 in support of Brown the past couple of weeks, federal election records show. The political-action committee of the Cooperative of American Physicians — a California-based consortium of doctors concerned with the costs of malpractice lawsuits — has spent at least $35,000 on "prerecorded messages" in support of Brown.

The Political Action Committee of the National Republican Trust, also supporting Brown, reported spending nearly $100,000 on advertising. On a much smaller scale, a conservative group focused on national-security issues called Move America Forward reported spending more than $13,000 on an e-mail blast and other activity supportive of Brown.

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